" How To " : Preparing to Meet with International Buyers
U.S. food and agricultural exporters face mounting pressure to secure new international buyers as escalating trade wars and retaliatory tariffs since 2025 have shrunk key markets and pushed the sector toward a record trade deficit.
Key takeaways
- •Retaliatory tariffs from major partners like China have slashed U.S. agricultural exports by billions in 2025, with soybean shipments to China dropping over 70%, forcing exporters to urgently diversify to new regions.
- •The U.S. agricultural trade deficit is projected to hit unprecedented levels around $47-50 billion in 2025-2026, threatening farm profitability and rural economies amid rising input costs and unreliable market access.
- •New trade missions and deals in 2026 targeting Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America create high-stakes opportunities for direct buyer meetings, but require precise preparation to overcome lingering perceptions of U.S. supply unreliability.
Trade Turmoil Drives Export Urgency
U.S. agricultural exports have been battered by renewed trade conflicts in 2025. The imposition of broad tariffs under the current administration triggered swift retaliation, notably from China, which escalated duties to prohibitive levels on many U.S. farm goods. Soybean exports to China, once a cornerstone of Midwestern farm income, collapsed dramatically, with losses exceeding $6.8 billion in the first part of the year alone. Other commodities like corn, wheat, and pork faced similar barriers as buyers shifted to suppliers in Brazil, Argentina, and elsewhere.
The fallout has widened the U.S. agricultural trade deficit to near-record territory, with projections for fiscal 2025 hovering around $47 billion to $49.5 billion, a sharp reversal from earlier surpluses. Farmers in the Midwest and South bear the brunt, contending with depressed commodity prices, elevated production costs from inflation, and uncertainty over planting decisions for 2026. The perception of the U.S. as an unreliable supplier lingers, deterring long-term contracts even after temporary de-escalations in some disputes.
Amid this strain, the administration has pursued aggressive diversification through agribusiness trade missions scheduled across 2026, including to Indonesia in February, the Philippines in April, Turkey in May, and others in Saudi Arabia and Vietnam later in the year. These missions, often involving hundreds of direct buyer meetings, aim to capitalize on new or reopened market access following bilateral deals that reduce barriers in select countries. Türkiye's September 2025 removal of retaliatory tariffs on U.S. tree nuts, rice, and other products exemplifies incremental gains, boosting exports by 34% in fiscal 2025.
Yet tensions persist beneath the surface. While new agreements promise tariff eliminations on vast swaths of U.S. goods, non-tariff barriers—such as regulatory hurdles, local content rules, and sanitary standards—remain formidable in many emerging markets. Exporters risk wasting opportunities if unprepared for cultural nuances, buyer expectations, or follow-up logistics in virtual or in-person settings. The stakes include not just immediate sales but preserving U.S. competitiveness against rivals who have filled voids left by American disruptions.
Sources
- https://www.foodexport.org/events/exporter-education/webinars/j26web30/
- https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/dispatches/how-2025s-us-tariff-shocks-can-give-way-to-constructive-reforms-in-2026
- https://www.agtechnavigator.com/Article/2026/01/21/tariff-turmoil-hurts-farmer-upends-2026-growing-season-preparations
- https://www.fas.usda.gov/newsroom/usda-announces-agribusiness-trade-missions-2026
- https://www.fb.org/market-intel/u-s-heading-to-record-ag-trade-deficit
- https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/expanding-opportunities-us-agricultural-exports-turkiye-and-regional-markets
- https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/trump-tariffs-trade-war
- https://www.csis.org/analysis/when-trade-war-becomes-food-fight